Description
Yes: U.S. national debt reaches $40 trillion at some point in 2026, as reported by the U.S. Treasury Department (or credible fallback) before 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Nov 5, 2025, 19:41
Resolve date
Dec 31, 2026, 00:00
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $39 trillion | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| $40 trillion | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| $41 trillion | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| $42 trillion | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.