Description
Fujimori 12%+ to win the margin of victory in the June 7, 2026 Peru second round. Margin brackets resolve to the higher bracket if the percentage falls exactly between two ranges, based on official totals.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
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30D change
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24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
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All-time low
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Created
May 21, 2026, 21:11
Resolve date
Jul 4, 2026, 08:47
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fujimori 12%+ | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fujimori 8–12% | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fujimori 4–8% | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fujimori 0–4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sánchez 0–4% | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sánchez 4–8% | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sánchez 8–12% | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sánchez 12%+ | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.