Rafael López Aliaga to finish fourth in the April 12, 2026 Peru presidential first round. Finishes fourth based on valid votes, with ties broken by alphabetical last name; settles via consensus of credible reporting or, if necessary, ONPE/JNE results.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael López Aliaga | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Keiko Fujimori | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mario Vizcarra | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Carlos Álvarez | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| César Acuña | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alfonso López Chau | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Vladimir Cerrón | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| José Luna | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| George Forsyth | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Roberto Chiabra | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Enrique Valderrama | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| José Williams | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fiorella Molinelli | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ricardo Belmont | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fernando Olivera | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Carlos Espá | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Rafael Belaúnde Llosa | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Yonhy Lescano | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mesías Guevara | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Marisol Pérez Tello | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jorge Nieto | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Roberto Sánchez Palomino | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wolfgang Grozo | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate D | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate E | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate F | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate G | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate H | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate I | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate J | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate L | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate N | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate O | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate P | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate Q | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate R | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate S | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate T | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate U | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate V | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate W | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate X | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate Y | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate Z | — | — | — | — | — | — |
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)