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Description
Right-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections? — Municipal elections in Paris, Marseille, and Lyon occur March 15, 2026, with potential second rounds on March 22. The market resolves to Yes if Rachida Dati, Franck Allisio, and Jean-Michel Aulas each win their city’s mayoral race; any single loss or indeterminate results by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET resolves to No. Settlement follows the first credible reporting consensus or the official results from the French Ministry of the Interior if ambiguity remains.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Right-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections? | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Municipal elections are scheduled in Paris, Marseille, and Lyon for March 15, with potential second rounds on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the following candidates win their respective elections to become mayor: - Paris: Rachida Dati - Marseille: Franck Allisio - Lyon: Jean-Michel Aulas If any of the listed candidates does not become mayor of their respective city as a result of the respective municipal elections, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of any of the specified elections are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Ministry of the Interior (élections.interieur.gouv.fr).