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Description
SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter? concerns whether the Supreme Court overturns Humphrey's Executor by December 31, 2026. Resolution occurs if the Court issues a merits decision overruling or limiting Humphrey's Executor (or permits at-will removal) or if such a decision remains undisposed by the deadline, in which case the market resolves No. The official Supreme Court ruling or credible reporting consensus will govern settlement.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter? | Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will. If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.