Description
Luke Nosek to be on-stage at SpaceX's bell ceremony on SpaceX's first trading day. Yes if physically present and on the primary stage; No otherwise. In-person ceremony at the primary exchange venue.
Price history
Loading price history...
Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Jun 9, 2026, 05:48
Resolve date
Jun 12, 2026, 22:07
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Grimes | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| X Æ A-Xii | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ashley St. Clair | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Shivon Zilis | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Donald Trump | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Vivian Wilson | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Hasan Piker | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Gwynne Shotwell | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Bret Johnsen | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mark Juncosa | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Brian Bjelde | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jonathan Hofeller | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Antonio Gracias | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Luke Nosek | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kimbal Musk | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Steve Jurvetson | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Barron Trump | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if listed individual is on-stage at a bell ceremony on SpaceX’s first day of trading. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no SpaceX IPO or qualifying bell ceremony occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". Bell-ringing ceremonies which take place outside of SpaceX's first day of trading will not be considered. This market will resolve to "No" if SpaceX's IPO and first day of trading occur with no qualifying bell ceremony. A qualifying ceremony must be in-person at the venue of SpaceX's primary exchange. The purpose of the ceremony must be to commemorate the opening or closing of the regular trading session of SpaceX’s primary exchange on SpaceX's first day of trading. Being “on-stage” is defined as being in physical attendance and on the primary stage of the venue during any part of the event. Any virtual or off-stage appearances (e.g., as a member of the audience) will not count. The primary resolution source will be photo and video; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.