Description
SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…? is a staging market assessing whether SpaceX will successfully launch a Starship from a Florida launch pad by the listed deadline. Resolution rests on SpaceX’s official information; credible reporting may supplement, but post-launch anomalies do not affect the outcome and renaming does not matter. The relevant dates are August 31, 2026; December 31, 2026; and June 30, 2027, depending on the market chosen.
Event stats
Market highlights
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 31, 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31, 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30, 2027 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.