Description
SpaceX Starship Florida launch succeeds by December 31, 2026. Settlement relies on SpaceX’s official confirmation, with credible reporting as fallback; post-launch anomalies do not alter the outcome.
Price history
Loading price history...
Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Jun 17, 2026, 19:00
Resolve date
Dec 31, 2026, 23:59
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 31, 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31, 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30, 2027 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.