Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? A bill signed into federal law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET must include at least one of: a prohibition on creation or release of certain AI systems or models, training restrictions on data or parameters, usage restrictions on applications or interfaces, or human-in-the-loop requirements. Settlement follows the first official federal action or credible reporting confirming enactment, otherwise No.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
1
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?Which company has the best AI model end of March?Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)Which company has best AI model end of June?ChatGPT Outage by March 15?Anthropic CEO arrested?Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. - Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models. - Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training. - Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web. - Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.