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Description
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30? is a binary event examining whether the United States government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or confirms such evacuation between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A full evacuation announcement qualifies for Yes even if no subsequent evacuation occurs within the window; partial staff reductions do not. Resolution relies on official statements or credible reporting consensus.
Event stats
24h volume
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Liquidity
Markets
2
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.