Price history
Select outcomes to plot.
Description
Naim Qassem's status as Hezbollah secretary-general is in question through several deadlines. The market resolves to Yes if he ceases to hold the post for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Removal can result from resignation, detention, or any loss of ability to fulfill duties, and resolution sources include Hezbollah statements or credible reporting consensus.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
5
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?How many different countries will Israel take military action against in March?Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by...?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 31, 2026 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 30, 2026 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30, 2026 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31, 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.