Description
May 5: Yes if an in-person US–Iran diplomatic meeting is publicly acknowledged by governments or credible reporting by May 5, 11:59 PM ET; otherwise No.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Apr 21, 2026, 21:31
Resolve date
May 6, 2026, 06:27
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 18 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 15 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 16 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 17 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 19 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 25 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 26 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 27 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 28 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 29 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 5 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 15 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 22 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 15 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 28 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 3 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 7 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 10 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| August 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 18 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 19 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 13 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 14 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 16 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 17 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.