Description
June 7 target for a lasting US–Iran peace. Yes if a written agreement or definitive confirmation ends hostilities by June 7, 11:59 PM ET.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
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30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
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All-time low
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Created
May 22, 2026, 21:57
Resolve date
Jun 8, 2026, 06:04
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 22 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| April 24 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 15 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 8 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 11 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 13 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 15 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| July 31 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 22 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 26 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 7 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| August 31 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| October 31 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify. A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met: - The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria. - Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.