Description
Vatican III in 2026? A Yes answer requires the Pope to convoke an ecumenical council at any point before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Plenary or provincial councils do not count, and settlement relies on an official Vatican announcement or credible reporting consensus.
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Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vatican III in 2026? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Pope convokes any ecumenical council between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only ecumenical councils will qualify. Plenary or provincial councils will not be considered. This market will resolve according to announcements from the Pope, Vatican officials, or a consensus of credible reporting. Any official announcement will qualify, regardless of if or when the council actually occurs.