Carol Hafner to win the Alaska Senate primary final round (Aug 18, 2026). Finishes highest by valid votes, with ties broken alphabetically by last name; if results are not definitively known by Dec 31, 2026, market settles to Other. Settlement follows credible reporting and, if necessary, official Division of Elections results.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Darden | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fred C. Grauberger | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Richard Grayson | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Carol Hafner | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Gerald L. Heikes | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sid Hill | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Scott Kohlhaas | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| David Leslie | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Richard Benedict Mayers | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Heather McElwain | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mary Peltola | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Reece Roberts | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Shirley Saucerman | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Earl D. "Skip" Southworth | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Dan J. Sullivan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sen. Dan S. Sullivan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate A | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate D | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate E | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.