No token launch by March 31: If Backpack’s governance token has not become transferable and tradable by 11:59 PM ET on March 31, 2026, the market resolves to Yes or No based on the absence of an earlier transferable launch. Settlement follows the first confirmed transferable launch or credible reporting thereafter.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 11 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 12 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 13 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 14 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 15 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 16 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 17 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 18 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 19 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 20 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 21 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 22 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 23 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 24 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 25 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 26 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 27 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 28 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 29 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| March 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| No token launch by March 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — |
This market will resolve to the first date (in ET) on which Backpack launches its governance token. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Backpack (https://x.com/Backpack/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.