Description
House of the Dragon, Season 3, Episode 4 airs on July 12, 2026. This set of affirmative markets resolves to Yes if the episode’s initial release includes any of the listed terms; otherwise it resolves to No. If the episode has not fully released by July 13, 2026 11:59 PM ET, resolution follows what has been released up to that moment; if no episode is released or is cancelled, the No Qualifying Event bracket resolves to Yes and all others to No. The resolution source is the initial release of the named episode of House of the Dragon.
Event stats
Market highlights
Related events
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dragon 30+ times | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Queen 20+ times | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| King 10+ times | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Revenge | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Bastard | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Widow | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Surrender | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Prophecy | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wine | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Raven | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mercy | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Prayer | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Conquest | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Council | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Marriage | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sword | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Power | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lesson | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kingdom | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Storm | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| -No Qualifying Event- | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Episode 4 of House of the Dragon Season 3 is scheduled to air on July 12, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of House of the Dragon. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this episode of House of the Dragon has not been released in its entirety by July 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of House of the Dragon. Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf