Description
Bastard: Yes if the term 'Bastard' appears in the initial release of House of the Dragon Season 3 Episode 4; otherwise No. Resolution follows the first released episode version.
Price history
Loading price history...
Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Jul 7, 2026, 23:53
Resolve date
Jul 13, 2026, 06:21
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Event
Volume
Markets
21
Top market
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dragon 30+ times | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Queen 20+ times | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| King 10+ times | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Revenge | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Bastard | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Widow | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Surrender | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Prophecy | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wine | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Raven | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mercy | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Prayer | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Conquest | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Council | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Marriage | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sword | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Power | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lesson | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kingdom | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Storm | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| -No Qualifying Event- | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
Episode 4 of House of the Dragon Season 3 is scheduled to air on July 12, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of House of the Dragon. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this episode of House of the Dragon has not been released in its entirety by July 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of House of the Dragon. Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf