Description
Update / Updated to appear at any point during Apple WWDC 2026 coverage. Settlement occurs if the term is spoken or shown in the material.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Jun 4, 2026, 15:52
Resolve date
Jun 8, 2026, 20:11
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glow | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fluid | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sleek | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Effortless | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Siri | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Developer | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Open Source | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ChatGPT | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Gemini | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tool | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Update / Updated | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Apple Intelligence | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Generative | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Customize / Customization | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Overhaul | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ecosystem | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Milestone | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
Craig Federighi is scheduled to participate in an event, "Apple WWDC 2026" on June 8, 2026, 1 PM ET (see https://developer.apple.com/wwdc26/schedule/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Craig Federighi says the listed term at any point during the event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips or prerecorded videos are aired where Craig Federighi is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). Censored instances of a given term that cannot be heard in full will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event is definitively cancelled or otherwise is not released by June 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.