Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Apr 29, 2026, 15:32
Resolve date
May 1, 2026, 06:59
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Nuclear | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| King | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Radical Left | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fraud | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pakistan | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Orbán / Hungary | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| NATO | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Terrorism / Terrorist | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Charlie / Kirk | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| God | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fraud / Scam | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Rhetoric | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Social Security | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ballroom | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| National Security | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| King / Queen | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Midterm | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| California | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Deal | Yes | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
JD Vance is scheduled to appear on the Will Cain Show on April 29, 2026. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/WillCainShow/status/2049245211012870401 This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during this appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Vance is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this interview is definitively cancelled by JD Vance or the Will Cain Show, or otherwise is not released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the interview has not aired in its entirety by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count.