Description
SpaceX IPO valuation lands in the 1.25-1.50T bracket under the final prospectus valuation, or if no IPO occurs by 12/31/2026, settles to the lowest bracket.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Mar 25, 2026, 22:14
Resolve date
—
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <1.25T | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.25-1.50T | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.50-1.75T | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.75-2.00T | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.00-2.25T | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.25-2.50T | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.50T+ | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.