Description
< $1.176M: The median home value on September 30, 2026 falls below $1.176 million after applying the Parcl index (price per sq ft) × 1700 sq ft settlement rule.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Jul 1, 2026, 19:59
Resolve date
Sep 30, 2026, 04:00
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Event
Volume
Markets
7
Top market
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <$1.176M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| $1.176M - $1.198M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| $1.198M - $1.220M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| $1.220M - $1.242M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| $1.242M - $1.264M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| $1.264M - $1.284M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| $1.284M+ | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)