Ceasefire to post the term "Ceasefire" (and variants) on @realDonaldTrump between May 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET and May 17, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Only the exact term forms count, including plural/possessive variants; media must spell it clearly to count.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trust | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Game | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ceasefire / Cease-fire / Cease fire | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| King | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AG / Attorney General | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Senior | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ICE | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Court | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| No cards / All the cards | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DOJ | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Epstein | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Baby | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| UFC | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Coal | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Table | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Virus | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Black | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| World Cup | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Football | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Brazil | — | — | — | — | — | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.