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Market stats
Odds
Δ 24h
Δ 7d
Δ 30d
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Created
Sep 25, 2026, 20:30
Resolve date
Oct 5, 2026, 06:03
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
Δ 24h rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | Δ 24h | Δ 7d | Δ 30d | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia | No | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| China | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Scam | No | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Terrorism | No | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| President Xi | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Vance | No | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Putin | No | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Rigged | No | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Deranged / Derangement | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fool | No | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Uranium | No | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | No | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between September 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for 'hello'), will not count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.