Description
Trump speaks in March about a range of topics, with the Yes outcome requiring a listed term to be mentioned between March 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Plural and possessive forms count toward resolution; compound words count if the root forms appear. AI-generated audio/video do not count; written usages do not count. Market resolutions are based on publicly accessible mentions recorded within the time window.
Event stats
Market highlights
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big Fat Cat | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| N Word | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Hottest Nation | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Little Rocket Man | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| China Virus / Wuhan Lab | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Low Energy | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Aliens are Real | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kanye / Taylor Swift | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Banana Republic | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Bitcoin | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Judy Shelton | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Data Center | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Midnight Hammer | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Secret Word | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Debate | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Drill Baby Drill | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Charlie Kirk | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| War On Fraud | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lonely | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Coward | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Capital of the World | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| UFC Fight | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Easter | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Liberation Day | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pulitzer Prize | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Snake | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sudan | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Truth Social | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Escalator | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Erika Kirk | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Third term | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.