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Description
What will Powell say during March Press Conference? Jerome Powell is scheduled to deliver the FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on March 18, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, including the following Q&A session. The market resolves Yes if Powell says any listed term during the Introductory Statement or Q&A; any usage counts, including plural forms and compound-word contexts, with a No if the term is not used and no statement occurs by March 18, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Resolution relies on video and transcripts of the FOMC Press Conference.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation 40+ times | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Inflation 50+ times | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Inflation 60+ times | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Percent 20+ times | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Food / Energy 3+ times | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Dollar 2+ times | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Supreme Court | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Gold / Oil | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fed / Federal Reserve 7+ times | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Nothing 3+ times | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Comment | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pandemic | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sorry / Pardon | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Collect / Collected | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Delayed / Delay | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Successor | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Affordability | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Not our job | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Politics | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Speculate / Speculation | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Simulation | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Distortion | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Balance Sheet | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Signal | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Good Afternoon | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Refund | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| China | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Volatile | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Recession | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| War | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Housing | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Iran | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on March 18, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by March 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.