Description
Speculate / Speculation: Powell will mention the term during the March 18, 2026 press conference; Yes if used in Introductory Statement or Q&A.
Price history
Loading price history...
Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Mar 2, 2026, 17:38
Resolve date
Mar 18, 2026, 21:15
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation 40+ times | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Inflation 50+ times | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Inflation 60+ times | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Percent 20+ times | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Food / Energy 3+ times | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Dollar 2+ times | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Supreme Court | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Gold / Oil | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fed / Federal Reserve 7+ times | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Nothing 3+ times | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Comment | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pandemic | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sorry / Pardon | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Collect / Collected | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Delayed / Delay | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Successor | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Affordability | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Not our job | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Politics | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Speculate / Speculation | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Simulation | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Distortion | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Balance Sheet | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Signal | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Good Afternoon | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Refund | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| China | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Volatile | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Recession | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| War | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Housing | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Iran | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on March 18, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by March 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.