Description
Shutdown / Shut down to be uttered in a verifiable verbal mention between March 2, 2026 00:00 ET and March 8, 2026 23:59 ET. Only the exact term forms count; possessives/plurals allowed; compound words count when part of the utterance.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Feb 27, 2026, 22:58
Resolve date
Mar 2, 2026, 20:01
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Make America Great Again / MAGA | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Transgender | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| El Salvador | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Nazi | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| IQ | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Save Act / Save America Act | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Insider | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Shutdown / Shut down | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| G20 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Hang / Hanging | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| BRICS | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Camp | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Golf / Golfer | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Autopen | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Nasty | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jesus | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Witch hunt | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Peanut | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ice Cream | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Toyota | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tough Negotiator | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Maduro | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| India and Pakistan / India Pakistan | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Black Plastic | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kamala / Harris | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ayatollah / Khamenei | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 2, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.