Description
Midterm Election to be mentioned by Trump in the May 11–17, 2026 window. Yes requires spoken usage within the window; counts for compound forms if base term appears.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
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30D change
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24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
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All-time low
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Created
May 9, 2026, 14:41
Resolve date
May 17, 2026, 00:00
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Make America Great Again | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sleepy Joe | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Blackwell | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| NVIDIA | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Shipbuilding | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Silicon Valley | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Eight War / Eighth War | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wind | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Rare earth / Mineral | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Boeing | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Regime change | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Magnet | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Secret Service | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| North Korea | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Six Seven | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Transgender | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Asylum | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Midterm Election | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Traitor | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Uncle / Unc | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Chair | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Cuba | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Hantavirus | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.