Description
Anthropic to hold the third-highest arena rank in the Text Arena | Overall Leaderboard (Style Control On) on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Ranking follows rank first, then Arena score, then alphabetic company name if tied.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Jun 4, 2026, 19:24
Resolve date
Jul 31, 2026, 00:00
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| Anthropic | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| OpenAI | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alibaba | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Z.ai | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| xAI | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DeepSeek | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Moonshot | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mistral | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Meituan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Microsoft | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Meta | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Amazon | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Baidu | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ByteDance | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company A | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company D | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company E | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company F | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company G | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company H | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company I | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.