Description
Which company has the top Math AI model by end of May 2026? The market resolves based on the company whose model ranks first on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard Math table at the May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET check. Rankings depend on leaderboard rank, Arena score as a tiebreaker, and company name alphabetically if needed. If the leaderboard is unavailable, the market stays open until it returns and then resolves using the first available check; if permanently unavailable, a fallback source may determine settlement.
Event stats
Market highlights
Related events
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Yes | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| OpenAI | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alibaba | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| xAI | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ByteDance | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Baidu | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Moonshot | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Amazon | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Z.ai | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mistral | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| DeepSeek | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Meituan | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Meta | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Microsoft | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company A | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company B | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company C | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company D | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company E | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company F | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company G | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company H | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company I | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company J | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company K | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company L | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Company M | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.