Description
Denmark's March 24, 2026 parliamentary election prompts markets on which parties join the first Danish government. A party qualifies if it participates in the governing coalition with at least one cabinet minister; the market resolves Yes after the Prime Minister and ministers are sworn in under non-caretaker conditions and the government is confirmed. If no government forms or results remain uncertain by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves No. Settlement relies on a consensus of credible reporting, or official government confirmation where ambiguity exists.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Social Democrats | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Venstre | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Denmark Democrats | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Green Left | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Liberal Alliance | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Moderates | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Conservative People’s Party | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Red–Green Alliance | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Danish People’s Party | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Danish Social Liberal Party | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| The Alternative | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Citizens’ Party | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Union Party | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Inuit Ataqatigiit | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Naleraq | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.