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Description
Slovenia’s 2026 parliamentary election results will determine which parties join the first government. Markets cover SDS, GS, SD, D, NSi, Levica, Res, Mi!, Vesna, SNS, PPS, SLS, SG, ND, and PVP, each resolving Yes if the party signs a coalition agreement and holds at least one cabinet post in the first government sworn in after confidence votes; otherwise No. If no government is formed or outcomes remain unclear by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to No. Resolution comes from credible reporting, or official government statements if ambiguity remains.
Event stats
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15
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Freedom Movement (GS) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Social Democrats (SD) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Democrats (D) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| The Left (Levica) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Resni.ca (Res) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mi, socialisti! (Mi!) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Vesna – Green Party (Vesna) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Slovenian National Party (SNS) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Party of Generations (SG) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Our Country (ND) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Prerod (PVP) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful vote of confidence in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.