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Description
Who will be arrested before 2027 is a prediction market listing individuals such as James Comey, Anthony Fauci, John Brennan, Mahmoud Khalil, James Clapper, José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero, Adam Schiff, Letitia James, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, Loretta Lynch, Susan Rice, Candace Owens, Gavin Newsom, Benjamin Netanyahu, John Kerry, Barack Obama, Pam Bondi, Tom Homan, Kash Patel, Brandon Johnson, Lisa Cook, Lee Jun-seok, and Joe Biden as possible arrestees. A Yes resolves if the listed person is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; otherwise, No. The primary resolution source is official arrest records, with credible reporting as a fallback.
Event stats
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Markets
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Market highlights
Top market
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Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Comey | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Anthony Fauci | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| John Brennan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mahmoud Khalil | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| James Clapper | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Adam Schiff | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Letitia James | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Hillary Clinton | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Bill Clinton | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Loretta Lynch | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Susan Rice | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candace Owens | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Gavin Newsom | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| John Kerry | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Barack Obama | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pam Bondi | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tom Homan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kash Patel | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Brandon Johnson | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lisa Cook | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lee Jun-seok | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Joe Biden | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.