Description
Kash Patel to be arrested by December 31, 2026 (11:59 PM ET). Yes if arrest occurs by the deadline; No otherwise, with official records or credible reporting as verification.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
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30D change
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24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
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All-time low
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Created
Apr 30, 2026, 21:51
Resolve date
—
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Comey | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Anthony Fauci | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| John Brennan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mahmoud Khalil | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| James Clapper | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Adam Schiff | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Letitia James | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Hillary Clinton | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Bill Clinton | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Loretta Lynch | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Susan Rice | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candace Owens | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Gavin Newsom | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| John Kerry | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Barack Obama | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Pam Bondi | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tom Homan | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Kash Patel | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Brandon Johnson | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lisa Cook | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lee Jun-seok | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Joe Biden | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.