Description
Steven Menashi to be the next Supreme Court nominee announced by January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET; settles based on the first nomination message delivered to the Senate, or alphabetical tiebreaker if timing is unresolved.
Price history
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Market stats
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24h change
7D change
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Liquidity
All-time high
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All-time low
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Created
Jun 24, 2026, 22:21
Resolve date
Jan 19, 2029, 23:59
Position in event
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Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Sauer | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Mike Lee | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ted Cruz | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Andrew Oldham | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Aileen Cannon | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| James Ho | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Neomi Rao | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Gregory Katsas | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Patrick Bumatay | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Steven Menashi | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Amul Thapar | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate A | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate B | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate C | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate D | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate E | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate F | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate G | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate H | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate I | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate J | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate K | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate L | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate M | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate N | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate O | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate P | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate Q | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate R | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate S | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Candidate T | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order. If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.