Description
A coin launched in 2026 must be actively transferable and publicly tradable and end the year with a fully diluted value (FDV) above $20B, calculated as supply multiplied by the December 31, 2026 Close price from CoinGecko. If any 2026-launch token meets this threshold, the Yes outcome resolves; otherwise, No resolves. Stablecoins and non-qualifying token types are excluded.
Event stats
Market highlights
Related events
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any token launched in 2026 ends the year with an FDV above $20B. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” A token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable to be considered launched. The FDV will be calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price. The token price used will be the “Close” price on CoinGecko for December 31, 2026, as shown in the token’s historical data (e.g., Hyperliquid: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid/historical_data). Stablecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), liquidity pool tokens, and synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.