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Description
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? specifies that any Federal or State jurisdiction within the United States must formally charge or announce a criminal indictment of an AI or LLM by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Indictments must target the AI/LLM itself, not the company behind it; DC and subjurisdictions are included as states for this purpose. Resolution relies on official government information, with a credible-reporting consensus allowed if needed.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any AI or LLM by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The charge or indictment of a company or organization behind the AI or large language model will not be sufficient. Charges or indictments must be of the AI or LLM itself. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.