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Description
AI model performance on the Arena.AI Leaderboard drives a binary outcome. If any model on the Text Arena | Overall leaderboard reaches at least the specified Arena Score by September 30, 2026 (11:59 PM ET), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, No. The resolution relies on the Score column from the Leaderboard tab with style control off, sourced from the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at arena.ai/leaderboard/text, or remains open if the source is unavailable until it returns online.
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Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".