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Description
George R. R. Martin to announce The Winds of Winter in 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Martin publicly and explicitly states by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that an installment titled "The Winds of Winter" will be released. Announcements of expansions or sequels with different titles do not qualify; only the Winds of Winter title triggers a Yes. The resolution source is Martin’s official communications or a consensus of credible reporting.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if George R. R. Martin publicly and explicitly announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that an installment of A Song of Ice and Fire titled "The Winds of Winter" will be released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "The Winds of Winter" (e.g., Fire & Blood, A Sworn Sword) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution. The book must have the words "The Winds of Winter" in the title to qualify. This market is concerned only with the announcement of release. The resolution source for this market will be official information from George R. R. Martin or a consensus of credible sources.