Description
MicroStrategy Incorporated faces a binary outcome in 2026: margin calls on its Bitcoin-backed loans. A Yes resolves if any lender formally requires MicroStrategy to add collateral or repay debt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, via a margin call triggered by falling Bitcoin collateral value. No otherwise. Resolution sources include SEC filings, MicroStrategy statements, and credible financial reporting consensus.
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Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy incorporated is margin called on any of its Bitcoin-backed loans by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resulting in either a forced liquidation of Bitcoin by a lender or MicroStrategy posting additional collateral or making a loan repayment in response to the margin call. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A margin call is defined as a lender formally requiring MicroStrategy to either provide additional collateral or repay part of a loan due to the value of Bitcoin collateral falling below the required loan-to-value (LTV) ratio. Voluntary Bitcoin sales by MicroStrategy that are not explicitly in response to a margin call will not count. The primary resolution sources will be SEC filings, official MicroStrategy statements, and a consensus of credible financial reporting.