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Description
Indonesia’s MSCI status as a potential Frontier Market is in focus. If MSCI reclassifies Indonesia to Frontier Market at any time by November 30, 2026 (11:59 PM ET), the Yes outcome resolves. If no official reclassification occurs by that deadline, the No outcome resolves. The resolution relies on official MSCI communication or credible reporting consensus when needed.
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1
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) reclassifies Indonesia as a Frontier Market at any point by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” An official MSCI announcement of reclassification will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution, even if such reclassification does not go into effect by the date listed above. Announcements that MSCI is considering or exploring reclassification will not be sufficient to resolve the market. The resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.