Description
June 17 to dance yes if a video within 12:00 AM–11:59 PM ET shows deliberate rhythmic movement matching a beat; casual gestures do not qualify; footage must be posted within the window.
June 17 to dance yes if a video within 12:00 AM–11:59 PM ET shows deliberate rhythmic movement matching a beat; casual gestures do not qualify; footage must be posted within the window.
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 3 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 4 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 5 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 6 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 7 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 8 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 9 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 10 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 11 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 12 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 13 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.