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Description
Will Trump publicly insult someone on a given date? On the specified date, this market tracks whether Donald Trump makes any public statement that insults, mocks, or attacks a real person personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner. Resolution depends on a consensus of credible reporting confirming such disparagement, with exclusions applying to policy disagreements that lack insulting language and non-personal critiques. If no qualifying insult appears on that date, the market resolves to No.
Event stats
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Liquidity
Markets
29
Market highlights
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 2 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 3 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 4 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 5 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 6 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 7 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 8 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 9 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 10 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 11 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 12 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 13 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 14 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| June 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.