Description
Will Trump visit China? The market resolves to the date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next enters China’s terrestrial or maritime territory. Primary resolution sources are official U.S. government communications, official statements from Trump, or verified posts, with credible reporting as a fallback when needed.
Event stats
Market highlights
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| On or prior to May 1 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 2 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 3 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 4 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 5 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 6 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 7 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 8 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 9 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 10 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 11 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 12 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 13 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 14 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 15 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 16 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 17 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 18 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 19 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 20 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 21 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 22 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 23 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 24 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 25 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 26 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 27 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 28 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 29 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| No visit by May 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.