Description
On or prior to May 1: Trump enters China on or before May 1, 2026 (ET). Settles based on the first confirmed visit into China as reported by official U.S. sources or Trump’s verified accounts, or credible reporting if needed.
Price history
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Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Apr 27, 2026, 19:32
Resolve date
May 2, 2026, 09:15
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Resolved
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| On or prior to May 1 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 2 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 3 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 4 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 5 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 6 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 7 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 8 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 9 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 10 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 11 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 12 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 13 | Yes | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 14 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 15 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 16 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 17 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 18 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 19 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 20 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 21 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 22 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 23 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 24 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 25 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 26 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 27 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 28 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 29 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 30 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| May 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| No visit by May 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.