Description
USDC vs USDT market-cap share is evaluated daily. If on any date through December 31, 2025, USDC market cap is equal to or at least 50% of USDT market cap, the Yes outcome for the December 31 market resolves to Yes; otherwise, No. Resolution uses CoinGecko’s historical daily Market Cap data for USDC and USDT, finalized when the following day’s data is published on CoinGecko’s historical pages.
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | No | — | — | — | — | — | |
| December 31, 2026 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the USDC marketcap is equal to or greater than 50% of USDT marketcap on any day by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's "historical data" section for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/usd-coin/historical_data#panel and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel respectively, specifically the daily "Market Cap" data. The daily market cap data for any given date will be considered finalized once data for the following calendar day is published on CoinGecko’s “Historical Data” page for both USDC and USDT. This market will resolve based on the specified CoinGecko chart, not according to other sources or spot markets.