Description
Chaplik 10%+ margin in the AZ-01 Republican primary runoff. Settlement based on the official margin; highest brackets reflect larger gaps in margins.
Price history
Loading price history...
Market stats
Odds
24h change
7D change
—
30D change
—
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
All-time high
—
All-time low
—
Created
Jul 8, 2026, 22:30
Resolve date
Aug 4, 2026, 23:59
Position in event
Odds rank
24h volume rank
24h move rank
Status
Active
Parent event
Market Outcomes
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feely 25%+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Feely 20–25% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Feely 15–20% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Feely 10–15% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Feely 5–10% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Feely <5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Chaplik <5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Chaplik 5–10% | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Chaplik 10%+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Other | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Event Rules
The AZ-01 Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for August 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the AZ-01 Republican Primary election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Arizona, such as official statewide results published by the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.