Price history
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Description
Bank of Mexico decision in August 2026 centers on the change in the target interbank overnight rate after the August 2026 meeting. The market resolves to the observed change in basis points relative to the pre-meeting level, using the Bank of Mexico’s August 2026 statement as the resolution source. If the rate is expressed as a bound, the change used is the upper bound; rounding rules apply for any unlisted changes. The August 6, 2026 meeting and its release will govern settlement in accordance with official BOFX communications.
Event stats
24h volume
Total volume
Liquidity
Markets
5
Market highlights
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Top market
24h gainer
24h loser
Highest volume
Related events
Bank of Korea decision in May?ECB rate hike in 2026?Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?Bank of Israel Decision in May?Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?Bank of Canada Decision in July?Bank of England rate hike in 2026?South African Reserve Bank Decision in May?Bank of Japan Decision in July?Central Bank of Colombia Decision in June?
Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50+ bps decrease | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 25 bps decrease | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| No change | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 25 bps increase | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 50+ bps increase | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its August 2026 meeting, scheduled for August 6, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its August 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.