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Description
Blue wave in 2026? marks a Yes if Democrats secure 218 or more seats in the House and 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterm elections. Settlement occurs when both conditions are met; if either threshold falls short, the market resolves to No. The market remains open until it is confirmed that at least one condition is not met, or until both are met.
Event stats
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Markets
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Highest volume
Related events
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Markets
Outcome | Odds | Spread | 24h Change | 24h Volume | Total Volume | Liquidity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue wave in 2026? | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections: - Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House - Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf